← RETURN TO SIGNAL
Strategy 7 Min Read

Email Lists are Vanity. Deposits are Sanity.

Author
The Validatr Team
Intelligence Desk • Oct 10, 2024

There is a startup graveyard filled with founders who had 5,000 people on a waiting list.

They launched. They sent the email blast. And they got 3 sales.

How is that possible? How can 5,000 people say "I want this," and then ghost you when it's time to pay?

It's because an email address costs $0.00. It is a zero-friction action. It signals curiosity, not commitment.

The Hierarchy of Validation

Not all data points are created equal. When testing a product idea, you need to understand the "Truth Value" of the action you are tracking.

The Psychology of the $1 Deposit

Why is collecting $1 infinitely better than collecting an email? It's not about the dollar. You can't fund a business on $1 deposits.

It's about the psychological hurdle of entering credit card information.

When a user types their 16-digit card number, they cross a mental chasm. They shift from "Passive Observer" to "Customer."

"A person who pays you $1 is 20x more likely to pay you $50 than a person who gave you their email."

The Kickstarter Secret

The most successful crowdfunding agencies (like LaunchBoom) do not launch to free email lists anymore. They use a "Reservation Funnel."

  1. Ad: Shows the product.
  2. Landing Page: "Coming to Kickstarter soon."
  3. The Ask: "Put down a $1 refundable deposit to lock in the VIP Price (40% off)."

The Results:
People who just give an email convert at 1-3% on launch day.
People who pay the $1 deposit convert at 30-60% on launch day.

You are better off having 100 depositors than 2,000 free leads. It gives you an accurate forecast of your Day 1 revenue.

How to execute the "Deposit Test"

You don't need a Kickstarter campaign to do this. You can do it for your own e-commerce brand using Validatr.

Step 1: The Offer
Create a landing page for your product. Be honest that it is a pre-order.

Step 2: The VIP Hook
Offer a massive incentive for reserving now. "Reserve for $5 now, save $50 later."

Step 3: The Transaction
Use Stripe to collect the deposit. Make it clear that it is refundable.

If you get 50 deposits, you have proven the market. If you get 0 deposits but 500 emails, do not launch. The market is telling you they like the *idea*, but not enough to pay for it.

Stop collecting vanity metrics.

Launch a "Deposit Test" page in 5 minutes and find out who your real customers are.

Start Deposit Test

Incoming Signals